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Market Rebounds on Thin Volume Amid Rotation Plays

by changzheng25

Key Resistance Levels in Focus as Indexes Show Divergent Strength

Chinese stocks advanced Thursday in a broad but unconvincing rally, with the ChiNext Index leading gains at +1.11% on merely 1.4% volume increase, signaling persistent caution among institutional investors despite technical improvements across major indices.

Market Snapshot

Index Change Key Technicals
SSE Composite +0.42% Testing 3,394 resistance
SZSE Component +0.87% MACD golden cross forming
ChiNext +1.11% 5-day/10-day MA convergence

Critical Technical Levels

  • Immediate Resistance: 3,394 (May 21 high)
  • Next Target: 3,417 (May 14 peak)
  • Support Zone: 3,332-3,368 range

Sector Performance

Thursday’s rotation highlighted:

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  1. Computing Power:
    • CPO/copper connection leaders rebounding
    • 60-min MACD bullish across tech sub-sectors
  2. Consumer Staples:
    • Beer sector showing early turnaround signs
    • Regional brands outperforming expectations
  3. Emerging Themes:
    • Solid-state batteries maintaining momentum
    • AI phone concepts reactivating

Global Context

  • Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index +2.04% overnight
  • Mixed US tech performance (Nasdaq +0.32%)
  • Asian markets showing cautious optimism

Beer Sector Spotlight

Fundamental drivers for sustained outperformance:

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Factor Impact
Seasonal Demand Summer peak season approaching
Margin Expansion Q1 profitability improving industry-wide
Valuation Historical P/E at 10th percentile

Trading Strategy

  • Short-term:
    • Watch 3,394 breakout confirmation
    • Prefer sectors with volume support (tech/beer)
  • Risk Management:
    • Maintain balanced exposure
    • Trim positions at resistance levels

The market’s thin-volume advance suggests institutions remain selective, with Friday’s session likely to test conviction ahead of weekend policy expectations. Beer and computing infrastructure sectors offer relative stability amid ongoing rotation.

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